reading + listening list.
💡 MUST READ: The Minto Pyramid Principle: Logic in Writing, Thinking, & Problem Solving
- Networks, Crowds, and Markets: Reasoning about a Highly Connected World
- When Women Lead: What They Achieve, Why They Succeed, and How We Can Learn from Them
VC Specific
Books
- Start-up Boards
- Start-up CEO
- Venture Deals
- Secrets of Sand Hill Road
- Lean Start-up
- The Business of Venture Capital: The Art of Raising a Fund, Structuring Investments, Portfolio Management, and Exits (Wiley Finance)
- Venture Resources (books, newsletters, blogs): 2019 blog with some great resources
Articles
Picking Winners
Default Alive or Default Dead?
Year of post: 2015
Name of investor: Paul Graham
High-level theme: The importance of startups understanding their financial trajectory.
Summary: Paul Graham emphasizes the critical importance for startups to know whether they are "default alive" (able to reach profitability with current resources) or "default dead" (unable to reach profitability without additional funding). He argues that many founders don't ask this question early or often enough, leading to potential fatal situations. Graham warns against overhiring as a major cause of startup failure, particularly after raising funds.
Key takeaway: He suggests that founders (or funders) should constantly evaluate their financial trajectory, have a backup plan if fundraising fails, and resist the urge to overhire. The post underscores the importance of addressing fundamental product issues and seeking sustainable growth paths rather than relying on increased staffing to solve problems.
Miners vs. picks and shovels: a contrarian venture capital investing approach?
Year of post: 2007
Name of investor: Satya Patel
High-level theme: Contrarian approach to venture capital investing.
Summary: He argues that investing in companies providing tools and technologies (the "picks and shovels") to support consumer-facing media properties is often a better strategy than trying to identify the next big consumer hit (the "miners"). Patel suggests that this approach offers a better risk/reward tradeoff, more predictable monetization, and aligns investor interests more closely with entrepreneurs.
“Searching for a single big win forces investors to take an aggressive approach to managing their portfolio of “bets”. Approaches to financing and exits can diverge dramatically when an investor is swinging for the fences at the potential expense of the entrepreneur. While the economic rewards of investing in picks and shovels may not be as great (although this can be argued), the satisfaction of building a sustainable business in partnership with entrepreneurs is well worth the cost associated with watching this current “gold rush” from the sidelines.”
Key takeaway: He argues that betting on companies that provide essential services to the entire industry is often more sustainable and predictable than trying to pick individual winners.
Name of investor: David Hornik
Year of post: 2012
High-level theme: If the idea doesn’t get your mind turning, it's not worth your time.
Summary: David Hornik emphasizes that passion is a crucial element in both entrepreneurship and venture capital investing. He argues that great entrepreneurs and VCs are driven by a desire to change the world, not just make money. Hornik describes his decision-making process as being heavily influenced by the level of passion he feels for a startup's team, product, and mission. He uses a personal metric of how much a startup occupies his thoughts, especially when going to sleep, as an indicator of his passion for the investment opportunity.
“The best test of my enthusiasm for you and your company comes when I go to bed the evening you pitched me. I have learned that the companies about which I'm the most passionate take over my subconscious. I'm serious about that. They literally occupy my brain. When I lie down to go to sleep that evening, I won't think about my schedule tomorrow or my daughter's soccer game or the latest episode of _Girls_, I will be preoccupied with your company. It doesn't happen often. But when it does, it is really exciting.”
Key takeaway: He suggests that VCs should look beyond traditional metrics and consider their own emotional and intellectual engagement with a startup as a key factor in investment decisions. This approach emphasizes the importance of alignment between investor and entrepreneur in terms of vision and enthusiasm for the project, which can help sustain both parties through the challenges of building a successful company.
Building Capital-Efficient Businesses
The Wisdom of Jeff Bezos, Part 3
Name of investor: David Hornik
Year of post: 2012
High-level theme: Amazon's low-margin, high-volume business strategy
Summary: David Hornik analyzes Jeff Bezos' approach to building Amazon, focusing on the company's strategy of pursuing low margins and high volume. He explains how Bezos views low margins as a competitive advantage, requiring extreme efficiency throughout the company's operations. Hornik highlights Amazon's focus on driving down costs in areas like distribution and customer support, as well as the development of Amazon Web Services (AWS) as an extension of this efficiency-driven approach.
Key takeaway: Hornik argues that Bezos' commitment to a low-margin, high-volume strategy has been key to Amazon's success. This approach requires relentless focus on efficiency and cost reduction, allowing Amazon to offer lower prices and attract a larger customer base. While acknowledging that this strategy is challenging, Hornik credits Bezos for consistently executing on this vision from the company's inception. He also notes that while high-margin, high-volume businesses (like Apple or Google) can be even more profitable, Amazon's model has proven highly effective in building a dominant market position.
Year of post: 2023
Name of investor: Elad Gil
High-level theme: The importance and benefits of capital efficiency in startups
Summary: Elad Gil discusses the value of capital efficiency in startups, citing examples of major tech companies that began as highly capital-efficient businesses. He argues that capital efficiency often reflects strong product-market fit and frugal, cost-conscious management.
In general there tend to be two drivers of capital efficiency.
- Customers will pay (a lot) for the product.** The “capital” side of capital efficiency is often a proxy for both product / market fit and an intense customer need. Customers are willing to pay up for a product that is important to them, and there is insufficient competition in the market to commoditize pricing or destroy the category (so the product is somehow differentiated). Pricing is often a proxy for value & differentiation of a product.
- The company is run efficiently.** During COVID roughly all tech startups lost their way on spending. Capital was flowing freely and teams often rapidly and dramatically over hired, boosted expenses on things non-crucial for the business, and spent wastefully. The most capital efficient businesses tend to be frugal and have a low cost approach to the world. Salaries are lower to help make equity more valuable. The founders and employees of these businesses treat the dollar spent by the business as their own money (which it is, as they are shareholders in the business). They realize that profitability gives them infinite runway and enormous freedom on decision making and future path optionality.
Key takeaway: Gil advocates for a return to capital efficiency in the startup world, especially after a period of loose spending during the COVID-19 pandemic. He suggests that the most successful companies often start with a capital-efficient model, which demonstrates both customer demand and good management. However, he also cautions that excessive focus on profitability can sometimes hinder a company's ability to scale and dominate its market
Name of investor: Kara Nortman
Year of post: 2016
High-level theme: The importance of founders embracing discomfort and learning all aspects of their business in the early stages
Summary: Kara Nortman argues that startup founders should resist the urge to immediately hire for their perceived weaknesses in the early stages of their company. Instead, she advises founders to embrace discomfort and try to be the "first and second employee" in every function or project. This approach helps founders:
- Better understand all aspects of their business
- Make more informed hiring decisions later
- Build empathy for different roles within the company
- Improve prioritization skills
- Foster a culture of learning and cross-functional appreciation
Key takeaway: Nortman encourages founders to roll up their sleeves and tackle unfamiliar tasks, even if they're outside their comfort zone or expertise. This hands-on approach can lead to better product-market fit, more effective leadership, and a stronger company culture. She emphasizes that the best entrepreneurs are lifelong learners who aren't limited by their past experiences and are willing to engage with all aspects of their business.
Why VC Funds Fail
Year of post: 2023
Revisiting The Death of a Venture Fund
Name of investor: Kyle Harrison
High-level theme: The changing landscape of venture capital and the increasing risk of fund shutdowns
Summary: Kyle Harrison discusses the surprising shutdown of OpenView Venture Partners and uses it as a springboard to analyze broader trends in the venture capital industry. He revisits his earlier analysis on how venture funds can die and notes that the current market conditions are leading to an increase in fund mortality. Harrison highlights changes in the VC landscape, including shifts in funding amounts, value creation, and allocation to private markets.
- 3 body problem deck
- Specifically the slides around non-consensus alpha VCs (aka TWV)
Key takeaway: Harrison argues that venture funds are now facing increased pressure to justify their existence. He suggests that successful funds will need to clearly articulate their value proposition and "product offering" to founders and limited partners. This could involve specializing in certain areas (like capital-intensive investments) or finding other ways to stand out in a more competitive and challenging environment. The era of easy money is over, and venture funds must adapt or risk shutting down.
Year of post: 2024
Why One Venture Capitalist Decided to Call it Quits
Name of investor: Jai Malik
High-level theme: Challenges facing small, specialized venture capital funds in the current market
Summary: Jai Malik, founder of Countdown Capital, a small fund focused on industrial startups, announced the closure of his fund. He cited the difficulty of generating necessary returns due to competition from larger, multistage funds that are increasingly active in early-stage deals. Malik argued that the microfund model (funds under $50 million) is becoming unviable, especially in sectors like industrial tech where there have been few big winners.
Key takeaway: Malik's decision to shut down his fund highlights the growing challenges for small, specialized VC firms. The article suggests that the VC industry is transforming, with larger funds increasingly dominating across all stages of investment. This trend is making it harder for smaller funds to compete, both in terms of deal access and the ability to provide comprehensive support to startups. The situation raises questions about the future viability of the microfund model in venture capital.
Other Interesting Reads
Name of investor: Ilya Fushman
Year of post: 2010
High-level theme: The tension between angel investors' and venture capitalists' approaches to startup ambition and exits
Summary: Ilya Fushman discusses a trend in Silicon Valley where small exits ($10m-$20m) are increasingly seen as acceptable outcomes. He contrasts the incentives of angel investors, who often encourage earlier, smaller exits, with those of traditional venture capitalists, who tend to push for larger, more ambitious outcomes. Fushman argues that the rise of angel investing and "super angels" has shifted the balance towards smaller, quicker exits, potentially at the expense of more disruptive or revolutionary innovations.
Key takeaway: Fushman expresses concern that the proliferation of angel investors may be decreasing the number of ambitious, potentially game-changing startups. He suggests that while angel investors' approach can benefit some entrepreneurs, it may also be limiting the development of more transformative technologies and companies. The post concludes with a call for the tech ecosystem to "aim higher," implying a need to balance quick returns with the pursuit of more significant innovations.
podcasts
- Business Breakdown: Deep dive into a single business, exploring its history, business model, competitive advantages, and ‘what makes it tick’.
- More VC-backed companies/focused episodes: Peloton, Block, Twitter, Uber, Calm, etc.
- The Two Percent: Female founder Fund podcast interviewing female-led CEOs and operators
- 20VC: VCs being interviewed
- Acquired: Especially the ones about VC firms like Benchmark and a16z to understand the history and how things have changed.